Posts Tagged ‘Skepticism’

A Minor Victory for Secularism in Lower Manhattan

I'm sure there are those who will find irony in this post's title, but sometimes we have to fight our battles where we find them. Roughly a month ago, I found this statue assaulting my aesthetic faculties at the corner of Water Street and Old Slip.

Joseph Smith, the founder of Mormonism. Somehow, this monstrosity cost $300,000.

Joseph Smith (of "Latter Day Saint" fame) has a loose historical affiliation with what is now the Financial District, or so I am told. And that much is fine. Despite my overwhelming distaste for the sculpture, I wouldn't be one to complain if it were merely there to point out that "Joe slept here." Fair enough.

Unfortunately, the display really went for the evangelical gusto. There is of course the bravado with which it was erected:

Bless those who come upon this monument, who do not yet know Joseph, with a desire to learn more concerning Thee and Thy Gospel restored through him. May this statue serve in spreading the message of Thy Gospel to growing numbers of local inhabitants and to visitors to this great city. [source]

Which, sickly as it may be, is perhaps not yet in violation of any laws. The inscription on the statue, however, does cross the line. This is the message I sent to the director of the parks department.

I had all but given up on this crusade (pardon the term) when I received a letter dated February the tenth tonight. I'll not reproduce all of it, since I don't want to expose the poor Parks worker to any undeserved criticism and because he expends several paragraphs nonsensically flailing straw men who apparently want to ban sectarian weddings in public parks. This is the important bit:

To that, I sent this in reply.

An outstanding and unexpected turn of events.

Thus Ends the Great Adsense Experiment

I install Adblock on all my machines, so I wasn't seeing any of the ads on my own site. I had thought they were all going to be hilariously off-topic (one that stood out was some guy named "Dan Poynter" plugging his small business), but apparently not. It didn't occur to me that if I wrote articles decrying pet psychics that Google would plaster ads for palm readings all over my site, but in retrospect that was obviously the only possible result. It turns out that the money isn't worth looking like an idiot.

Online Sports Journalism Audition

I'll admit, I personally prefer complete sentences, paragraphs, and attempted grammar. But, I thought I would try to write a "column" that is nothing but a long, bulleted list since this approach seems to be working for the so-untalented-he's-talented Bill Simmons.

Television that ruins an entire day if watched for even one second:

  • Dr. Phil - Relentless shouting. Truisms presented as revelations. "You need to get ahold of your life."
  • Mad TV - Bizzare, almost sinister, terrible acting. Not funny.
  • Anything about Nostradamus on the History Channel - John Hogue, in being what I will call a metafraud, has achieved something very impressive. He has somehow created a career for himself by sort-of-looking-like another fraud who has been dead for five hundred years.

    John Hogue, Bearded Dimwit
  • Anything about the Civil War on the History Channel - Sorry for the lack of variety here, but I just have to mention the guy with the Elmer Fudd accent that is on all of these documentaries. Apparently I am the only person in the world that is bothered by this.
  • The Q-Ray Commercial - If you think you should feel sorry for the people making testimonials, you are wrong. This is a rare intersection of people who deserve to have their money stolen and advertisers who do not deserve to receive money.
  • The 700 Club - Excessive squinting. Miraculously, doesn't seem to be on DirectTV in New York City.
  • Mind of Mencia - The person who greenlighted this trainwreck should receive the death penalty.
  • The Inaudible Fossilized Nun - I have no idea what the real name of this show is, but everyone knows who I'm talking about.
  • Pirate Radio TV - This is a cable access television show in Ithaca, New York. Typical rants include, "why did they move the CVS out to Route 13? Fuck!" and "Cornell students should count in antlerless deer season." It is sometimes entertaining to call in to the live broadcast and argue with the host–he flusters easily.

    The Pirate Radio host: think comic book guy, but not even unintentionally funny.
  • Fox NFL Pregame - Despite my soft spot for Terry Bradshaw, this has devolved into a retard tickle fight.

The Accidental Utility of Slashdot

I've been reading Slashdot for the last year and a half or so. I stayed away from it until I downloaded an aggregator that had it preinstalled, and, well, it just kind of stayed there. I don't post comments myself, but I find find those who do interesting. Of course, it's probably not for the reasons they had intended.

I think Slashdot is a great way to measure my own susceptibility to argumentum ad verecundiam. I do this (retrospectively) by reflecting on to what degree I have agreed with the posts scoring "5, Informative" or "5, Insightful" when attached to topics I know relatively little about. I contrast that with how ignorant posts with the same rating seem when in reply to topics I know inside and out.

What is more likely? That only the high-scoring commentators on "my" topics make serious errors? Or that the overall intelligence and ability of the commentators is fairly uniform, and I attribute too much credit to them when I don't know the material? Meeting one or two posters in real life might bias your response, but I digress.

In Humans First Arose in Asia, for example, some of the comments currently scored as fives give away obvious misconceptions of the time frame of human evolution. There are good comments too, but the scoring system does a poor job of differentiating them. Competitors like Digg and Reddit suffer from similar problems with varying degrees of severity. (I can't read Digg at all, and I'm currently giving Reddit a "time-out" after it linked to one too many pseudoscientific/conspiracy-theory articles.)

So what's the point here? Just that adequate English skills combined with an argument that sounds logical can easily be mistaken for an argument that is correct.

Secure in our Stupidity

Many of you may have heard stories about the CIA spending tax dollars on “remote viewing” and other paranormal spook activities during the cold war. Incredibly, many of these stories turn out to have been true.

Some senior officials kept an eye on the phenomenon. Kress reports that in November of 1976, CIA Director George Bush became concerned about reported Soviet advances in parapsychology, and called in the agency's RV researchers for a briefing. (Such concerns often provided the impetus for U.S. government parapsychology research; the fear that the Soviets were getting ahead in the mind-war game was widespread among paranormal enthusiasts at military and intelligence agencies) [source].

Not to be outdone, the military may have pursued avenues that were even more bizarre.

In 1979 a secret unit was established by the most gifted minds within the US Army. Defying all known accepted military practice - and indeed, the laws of physics - they believed that a soldier could adopt the cloak of invisibility, pass cleanly through walls and, perhaps most chillingly, kill goats just by staring at them. Entrusted with defending America from all known adversaries, they were the First Earth Battalion. And they really weren't joking. [Emphasis mine, source].

Despite substantial effort and investment, none of this produced one single verifiable, reproducible result. Surely, the agencies involved have wised up.

Right?

Well, I wouldn’t bet the farm on that just yet.

It has recently emerged that the source for the New York City subway terror scare passed a polygraph test. Reading this I was, in a word, livid.

What does a polygraph test have to do with psychic spies? Although it probably is not apparent to readers familiar only with Law & Order, both of these instruments have about the same degree of accuracy.

(Please don’t email me about Law & Order. I love Law & Order. I am not throwing Law & Order under the bus.)

Polygraphs may be very popular on television, but there are legions of pretentious whores on television. The National Academy of Sciences agrees (in substance, anyway), giving this recommendation regarding the use of the polygraph by the government:

We have reviewed the scientific evidence on the polygraph with the goal of assessing its validity for security uses … Overall, the evidence is scanty and scientifically weak. Our conclusions are necessarily based on the far from satisfactory body of evidence on polygraph accuracy, as well as basic knowledge about the physiological responses the polygraph measures [source].

The fact that this instrument is being relied upon to safeguard American civilians should infuriate anyone even remotely scientifically literate. The government may as well be identifying terror suspects using a dowsing rod.

“Insane,” responded Drew Richardson, one of the FBI’s top polygraph experts until he retired a few years ago, in an e-mail to SpyTalk. “I would say placing any significance on an examinee passing some portion or all portions on eight out of 15 CQT polygraph exams with all exams having covered the same subject(s) is, in a word, insane” [source].

Further reading:

Dvorak at it Again

John Dvorak recently posted this plug for what appears to be a pseudoscience site, holoscience.com. Quote:

This site is devoted to looking at space science in a holistic, interdisciplinary manner. It also has some exceptionally cool images.

The comments on his blog appear to be either disabled or not working, so I will post a reply here.

This site appears to be yet another "theory of everything, the scientific establishment is against me" kind of site. Example quote:

"The Big Bang is already dead! The unheralded "Galileo of the 20th century", Halton Arp, has proven that the universe is not expanding."

Everything written in the News area of the site appears to be self published and not peer-reviewed. There seems to be a war going on at Wikipedia over another apparently self-published article about the "Electric Universe" theory espoused on the site. View the discussion here.

Hi William, please refer to the list of papers on the article page going back to 1930 to show serious study in this field. A Google search will reveal 6,240 pages returned on a search for "'electric universe' + plasma" …. . –Bongani 19:38, 9 July 2005 (UTC)

No, thats a long list of papers which have something to do with electricity in space, and have nothing to do with EUM. One of the characteristics of pet/psuedo science [sic] is appropriating irrelevant papers that have the right-looking words in them. Any article that states That the Sun and stars are powered by an external electric current is (to be frank for just a moment) wacko nonsense. Any article that makes such a controversial statement, and then fails to back it up with a peer-reviewed paper, is unsuitable for wiki as "original research". … William M. Connolley 20:05:57, 2005-07-09 (UTC).

And as you can see the neutrality of the original article is disputed.

I can't believe Dvorak posted this, frankly. But it fits with the horoscope ad displayed prominently on his site. Holoscience does have "purty pictures," though.

Update (11:15) - It appears that Dvorak might have posters on his site other than himself. Not sure why or who they are, but I thought I should mention that the opinion I quoted above may not be directly attributable to the popular PC Magazine columnist.

Don Quixote vs. the Bookstore, Part II

Here is the latest in my correspondence with a bookstore “recommending” Kevin Trudeau’s “Natural Cures ’They’ Don’t Want You to Know About.”

Part I

Don Quixote vs. the Bookstore

There’s nothing like eight hours in various airports to make you want to try to change the world. Here’s an email I just sent to Gary McBrayer of the Hudson Group. I will post any replies I receive.

Welcome to the Ass-End of the Enlightenment

According to this article, the word debate seems to be sorely in need of redefinition.

President George W. Bush stirred the debate on the teaching of evolution in schools when he said this week that he supported the teaching of alternative viewpoints - such as the theory of Intelligent Design - to help students "understand what the debate is about" [emphasis mine].

Please do not trouble yourself - I have already suggested a number of alternatives to the archaic meaning (“to engage in argument by discussing opposing points.“) to the custodians of Dictionary.com.

  1. Impassioned and reasoned logic countered with childish misrepresentations and/or outright lies.
  2. Deliberately creating confusion between the Scientific Process and a Scientifically-Conducted Gallup Poll.

If you are not looking forward to another unreasoning dark age, except this time with nuclear bombs, might I suggest taking this opportunity to donate to these charities:

  1. The Council for Secular Humanism
  2. Americans United

John Dvorak Benefits from the Public Stupidity he Decries

Something has been bothering me about John C. Dvorak’s site for the last few days. This post in particular drove me to write about it. Here is a screenshot of the post. I would like to point out two things.

John Dvorak promotes pseudoscience

Figure (1) is John Dvorak complaining about public ignorance and stupidity. For this, I would normally applaud him. Figure (2) is John Dvorak profiting from public ignorance and stupidity.

Perhaps Dvorak isn’t in control of the content of that ad. If that’s the case, hopefully he’ll stop using that particular vendor. If he doesn’t, I don’t think there’s anything you can call this behavior other than every gadfly’s favorite insult, hypocrisy.

Some of the comments to his post are seriously pretty scary. Somehow, these people are allowed to procreate.

There is a slight parallel here to My God Problem, which is a thought-provoking article by Natalie Angier that appeared in Free Inquiry magazine. Simply put, the point is this: you cannot turn a blind eye to certain (popular) superstitions and still bemoan the public’s inexplicable distaste for evolution.